South Korea vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1991 |
KOR
1 - 1
MLT
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
KOR
3 - 0
IDN
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1991 |
KOR
0 - 0
EGY
57%
26%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRK
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
2 - 1
KOR
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
ENG
24%
29%
48%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1991 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 2
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |