South Korea vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 5
KOR
7%
17%
76%
|
88 | 28 | 60 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
KOR
5 - 0
TKM
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
QAT
1 - 2
KOR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MEX
3 - 2
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
TKM
3 - 2
LBN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
3 - 2
LKA
82%
13%
4%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
KWT
1 - 1
LBN
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
LBN
1 - 3
BHR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |