South Korea vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
5 - 0
OMA
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
42%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
HKG
1 - 3
KOR
2%
10%
88%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
BGR
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 1
BHR
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 0
KWT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
1 - 0
LBN
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 3
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |