South Korea vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.4%
2-0
20.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
11.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
KOR
1 - 0
LVA
67%
22%
11%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
FIN
0 - 2
KOR
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
4 - 2
KOR
20%
27%
54%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
KOR
0 - 1
SRB
56%
25%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DEN
0 - 0
KOR
60%
23%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BHR
4 - 0
HKG
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |