South Korea vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
KOR
2 - 0
IDN
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
KOR
3 - 1
JPN
57%
18%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
JPN
0 - 0
KOR
47%
20%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
KOR
4 - 1
SGP
69%
15%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1959 |
VIE
3 - 2
KOR
47%
20%
33%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
VIE
1 - 3
HKG
58%
19%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
MAS
2 - 1
HKG
58%
18%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1959 |
VIE
4 - 1
HKG
53%
19%
28%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 1959 |
IND
2 - 0
HKG
48%
21%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1959 |
JPN
2 - 4
HKG
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |