South Korea vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KOR
2 - 1
IRQ
62%
23%
15%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 1
KOR
49%
26%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
BHR
2 - 2
KOR
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SYR
1 - 1
KOR
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
KSA
0 - 2
KOR
37%
28%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PRK
2 - 0
UAE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PRK
1 - 0
KSA
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
VIE
0 - 0
PRK
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |