South Korea vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 1
JPN
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
KOR
1 - 1
CHN
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
KWT
0 - 4
KOR
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
UZB
1 - 1
KOR
21%
23%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PRK
0 - 2
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2005 |
IRN
1 - 0
PRK
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |