South Korea vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
SGP
0 - 7
KOR
7%
18%
75%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
THA
0 - 3
KOR
15%
23%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
THA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
JOR
2 - 0
KOR
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CHN
4 - 1
SGP
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SGP
2 - 2
CHN
11%
19%
71%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 0
CHN
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |