Qatar vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
AUS
4 - 0
QAT
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
1 - 1
BHR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
3 - 0
UZB
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
KSA
2 - 1
QAT
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
KOR
4 - 1
UAE
67%
21%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
KOR
3 - 0
UZB
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
19%
26%
55%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
KOR
1 - 0
JOR
67%
22%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
70%
20%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |