Qatar vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 2
QAT
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
QAT
0 - 1
CRO
93%
6%
1%
|
83 | 9 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
IRQ
2 - 1
QAT
34%
26%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
UAE
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 2
BHR
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 1
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |