Qatar vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 2
UAE
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
3 - 0
YEM
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
4 - 1
LBN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
JOR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 3
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
NPL
1 - 1
KWT
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NPL
0 - 1
KWT
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
NPL
2 - 3
BLR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
NPL
4 - 0
JOR
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
SGP
1 - 2
NPL
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |