Qatar vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
VIE
2 - 1
QAT
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QAT
3 - 0
VIE
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
QAT
1 - 2
IND
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
QAT
1 - 1
RUS
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
JPN
3 - 2
QAT
78%
16%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
YEM
0 - 0
IRQ
18%
22%
60%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
IRQ
2 - 0
YEM
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 1
IRQ
32%
27%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
IRQ
0 - 2
KWT
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 2
SYR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |