Qatar vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
0 - 1
ALG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 0
KGZ
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
2 - 0
JOR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
QAT
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SUI
0 - 1
QAT
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2018 |
PLE
1 - 1
IRN
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
IRN
1 - 1
VEN
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
IRN
1 - 0
TTO
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
IRN
2 - 1
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRN
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |