Qatar vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 2
AZE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 1
MDA
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 0
QAT
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 1
RUS
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
QAT
1 - 0
SYR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
0 - 1
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SYR
0 - 0
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRN
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |