Qatar vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
AUS
4 - 0
QAT
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
1 - 1
BHR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
QAT
3 - 0
UZB
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
KSA
2 - 1
QAT
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 1
PRK
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 1
PRK
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
KSA
1 - 1
IRN
33%
28%
39%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
1 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
6%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 1
JOR
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 0
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |