Qatar vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 1
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
QAT
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 4
KOR
18%
26%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
QAT
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GEO
0 - 0
EGY
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
CGO
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
OMA
1 - 1
EGY
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CTA
1 - 1
EGY
1%
14%
85%
|
89 | 16 | 73 | 0 |