Qatar vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
QAT
1 - 1
KSA
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
YEM
1 - 2
QAT
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
KWT
1 - 0
QAT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
QAT
0 - 1
HTI
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRQ
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 0
AUS
56%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 0
EGY
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
EGY
1 - 1
SLE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
EGY
6 - 3
COD
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ENG
3 - 1
EGY
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | -1 |