Qatar vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
PAN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
HND
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 0
GTM
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ECU
0 - 0
IRQ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
ECU
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KSA
0 - 0
ECU
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
CPV
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |