Qatar vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 0
KGZ
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
2 - 0
JOR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
QAT
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SUI
0 - 1
QAT
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
UZB
2 - 0
QAT
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOG
1 - 4
ALG
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
ALG
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ALG
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 1
ALG
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
ALG
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |