Qatar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 2
IRN
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
0 - 1
ALG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
1 - 0
KGZ
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
2 - 0
JOR
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
QAT
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
BHR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
AUS
3 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
UZB
0 - 0
LBN
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LBN
0 - 0
OMA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
JOR
0 - 1
LBN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |