Qatar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
UZB
5 - 1
QAT
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 0
PRK
49%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 1
AZE
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
QAT
3 - 1
LVA
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
11%
21%
68%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UZB
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LBN
5 - 2
THA
12%
17%
71%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRN
5 - 0
LBN
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |