Qatar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
BHR
1 - 0
QAT
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
2 - 1
OMA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 3
UAE
47%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 2
EGY
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 0
GAB
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KWT
2 - 1
LBN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
PLE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 1
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |