Qatar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 1
UZB
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
IRN
0 - 0
QAT
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 4
KOR
18%
26%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
QAT
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 0
PLE
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRN
17%
27%
57%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 3
AUS
13%
25%
62%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
KOR
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 1
UZB
19%
22%
60%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LBN
0 - 1
QAT
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |