Qatar vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
JOR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 3
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
QAT
1 - 2
SYR
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LAO
1 - 6
QAT
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
QAT
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
LBN
0 - 0
VIE
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 1
KWT
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 3
KWT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MDV
2 - 5
LBN
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |