Qatar vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
QAT
3 - 0
BGD
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BGD
1 - 4
QAT
4%
15%
80%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 1
UZB
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 3
QAT
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
TJK
81%
14%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 0
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
UZB
2 - 2
HKG
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HKG
1 - 2
SGP
38%
25%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
HKG
19%
20%
61%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
BGD
0 - 1
HKG
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |