Qatar vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
QAT
1 - 1
MDA
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
CHN
0 - 0
QAT
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
QAT
2 - 1
RUS
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
QAT
1 - 0
SYR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KOR
3 - 2
QAT
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
AZE
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
CZE
0 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AZE
1 - 0
NOR
14%
25%
62%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 1
AZE
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
AZE
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |