Qatar vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
QAT
3 - 1
LVA
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
QAT
2 - 0
PLE
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
KOR
2 - 1
QAT
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
BHR
1 - 0
QAT
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
QAT
3 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
AZE
0 - 2
POR
7%
19%
74%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 0
LIE
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 29 | 37 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
AZE
0 - 0
UZB
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIR
1 - 1
AZE
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |