Portugal vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
TUR
72%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
SRB
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 0
POR
13%
22%
65%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
POR
5 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
QAT
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
3 - 1
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
0 - 5
MKD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 4
GER
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
0 - 4
MKD
6%
17%
77%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |