Portugal vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
PRT
2 - 1
NLD
31%
23%
46%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
PRT
2 - 2
ENG
36%
25%
40%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
PRT
67%
19%
14%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
PRT
21%
23%
56%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PRT
1 - 2
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 0
CZE
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
GRC
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 1
GRC
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ESP
6%
14%
80%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PRT
1 - 2
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |