Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CZE
0 - 4
PRT
22%
25%
53%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
PRT
26%
25%
49%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
PRT
2 - 0
CZE
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PRT
4 - 0
CHE
66%
19%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
PRT
63%
20%
18%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
CZE
81%
12%
6%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 2
ESP
10%
19%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
PRT
63%
20%
18%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |