Poland vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LVA
2 - 6
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1934 |
POL
2 - 5
GER
48%
21%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1934 |
YUG
4 - 1
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
3 - 3
YUG
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1935 |
GRC
1 - 6
YUG
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 1935 |
ROU
0 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1935 |
ROU
0 - 4
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
BGR
3 - 4
YUG
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |