Poland vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
POL
0 - 3
CMR
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
ESP
6 - 0
POL
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
SRB
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POL
2 - 0
BGR
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
UKR
1 - 1
NED
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 1
UKR
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
UKR
3 - 2
ROU
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
UKR
4 - 0
LTU
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
UKR
0 - 1
GRC
40%
26%
35%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -2 |