Poland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 1
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
HUN
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
AND
1 - 4
POL
6%
15%
80%
|
87 | 35 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
POL
14%
21%
65%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 18 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 0
CZE
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
SWE
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
GEO
2 - 0
SWE
11%
21%
68%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 0
XXK
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |