Poland vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
LUX
2 - 3
POL
10%
18%
72%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
POL
2 - 0
BGR
50%
26%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
POL
2 - 1
CZE
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
POL
0 - 1
SWE
27%
28%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ENG
3 - 1
POL
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
THA
6 - 5
NZL
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 1
NZL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
FIJ
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
8 - 1
VAN
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |