Poland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ISL
1 - 1
POL
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
ARM
1 - 1
POL
13%
20%
67%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
WAL
1 - 2
POL
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
47%
27%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
POL
4 - 0
ARM
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
1 - 1
TUR
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
NOR
1 - 1
BLR
91%
7%
2%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
UKR
0 - 0
NOR
20%
23%
57%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 1
BGR
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
BLR
2 - 1
NOR
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | -1 |