Poland vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
POL
1 - 3
URU
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
ENG
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MNE
2 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MKD
3 - 2
SVN
41%
30%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
SRB
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 2
CRO
12%
23%
65%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
MKD
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 0
MKD
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |