Poland vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
SCO
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
CRO
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
XXK
1 - 0
LTU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CYP
2 - 1
LTU
54%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LTU
1 - 2
ROU
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LTU
1 - 2
XXK
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ROU
3 - 1
LTU
79%
16%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |