Poland vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
POL
3 - 1
CZE
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
POL
4 - 2
ISL
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LTU
2 - 0
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 0
LTU
78%
16%
6%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ROU
1 - 0
LTU
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
LTU
0 - 3
ENG
7%
18%
76%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |