Poland vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.3%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 35 | 54 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 3
UKR
52%
25%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRL
2 - 0
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
ROU
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
POL
4 - 1
MKD
70%
19%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LIE
1 - 1
LVA
11%
21%
69%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 0
LIE
74%
18%
9%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 1
MLT
21%
21%
57%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
2 - 0
LIE
83%
13%
5%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
LTU
12%
21%
66%
|
31 | 78 | 47 | 0 |