Poland vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
ISR
56%
23%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
SCG
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 3
POL
11%
22%
68%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
BGR
3 - 2
ISL
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
ISL
1 - 3
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
ISL
4 - 1
RSA
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
ISL
4 - 1
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ISL
2 - 3
HUN
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |