Poland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
POL
3 - 1
CZE
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
POL
4 - 2
ISL
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
IRL
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 1
NED
23%
24%
53%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
NED
48%
24%
28%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 3
NED
12%
21%
67%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NED
2 - 3
CZE
70%
18%
12%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |