Poland vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
POL
4 - 0
AND
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
SVK
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
BIH
68%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
19%
27%
54%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 1
SVN
68%
21%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 1
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
1 - 3
ROU
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
1 - 1
RUS
42%
27%
31%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |