Poland vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GEO
0 - 4
POL
16%
22%
63%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
SCT
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 0
DEU
10%
16%
73%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
2 - 1
GEO
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEO
0 - 2
DEU
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GEO
2 - 0
MLT
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GEO
0 - 4
POL
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 3
GEO
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |