Poland vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
POL
6 - 1
TUN
73%
14%
13%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FIN
1 - 2
FRA
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
HUN
7 - 0
FRA
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
FRA
1 - 1
IND
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
FRA
2 - 1
PER
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1960 |
CSK
2 - 0
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |