Poland vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 1
POL
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
SRB
2 - 2
POL
18%
25%
58%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
SWE
47%
26%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 1
USA
18%
28%
55%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SUI
0 - 1
USA
48%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
USA
2 - 4
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |