Poland vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ISR
1 - 2
POL
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
POL
2 - 0
MKD
76%
16%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
LVA
0 - 3
POL
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
POL
0 - 0
AUT
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SVN
2 - 0
POL
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SVN
1 - 0
LVA
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SVN
0 - 1
AUT
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
MKD
2 - 1
SVN
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
SVN
3 - 2
ISR
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SVN
2 - 0
POL
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |