Poland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
CRO
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 0
CRO
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |