Poland vs Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.1%
1.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
GRC
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
POL
4 - 0
GEO
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
SUI
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GIB
0 - 4
IRL
9%
23%
69%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GIB
0 - 7
GER
3%
11%
86%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CRO
4 - 0
GIB
93%
6%
1%
|
62 | 91 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SCO
6 - 1
GIB
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
GIB
98%
2%
0%
|
62 | 95 | 33 | 0 |