Poland vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
POL
2 - 2
SVK
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EST
0 - 4
POL
13%
22%
64%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
UAE
2 - 5
POL
19%
25%
56%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
POL
2 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 0
KGZ
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 0
AZE
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 0
UZB
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
UZB
0 - 0
AZE
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
5%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |