Peru vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
12%
22%
66%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CHL
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
DOM
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 4
NIC
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
3 - 0
MSR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 3
NIC
12%
16%
72%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
5 - 1
BRB
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |